Federal Reserve Economic Data

Announcements

LIBOR Series Discontinued

The widely used London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) benchmarks are being phased out; in response, FRED will discontinue several related series.

Currently, LIBOR benchmarks are produced by surveying a panel of large international banks on unsecured borrowing rates experienced in wholesale markets. LIBOR benchmarks are provided across seven tenors (overnight/spot next, one week, one month, two months, three months, six months, and 12 months) for five major currencies (USD, GBP, EUR, CHF, and JPY). The average of respondent rates with these tenors and currencies constitute the 35 LIBOR benchmark series.

The current family of benchmarks are being discontinued in favor of alternatives to minimize the potential for manipulation, respond to the decreased liquidity in interbank markets, and use observable transactions where possible. The administrator of the LIBOR benchmarks, ICE Benchmark Administration Limited (IBA), has announced transition guidance. Specifically, the following changes are scheduled for the next few years:

  • All Swiss franc and euro LIBOR settings will cease December 31, 2021.
  • The overnight, one-week, two-month, and 12-month Japanese yen and British sterling settings will cease December 31, 2021. However, a synthetic methodology will be available through 2022 for the one-month, three-month, and six-month tenors. This methodology will add spread adjustments to the ICE Term SONIA Reference Rate and the Tokyo Term Risk Free Rate for the British sterling and Japanese yen, respectively.
  • The one-week and two-month U.S. dollar settings will cease December 31, 2021. The overnight, one-month, three-month, six-month, and 12-month tenors are expected to continue on the current methodology until the end of June 2023. After this time, the one-month, three-month, and six-month settings are expected to continue using a synthetic, unrepresentative methodology.

LIBOR benchmark series in FRED will be discontinued at cessation dates. Recommended alternatives may be found on the Financial Conduct Authority’s LIBOR transition page.

Posted in FRED Announcements

FRED Adds Cleveland Fed’s Inflation Expectations

FRED has added 35 series on expected inflation and real and inflation risk premia from the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. The series are estimates of the expected rate of inflation over the next 30 years along with the inflation risk premium, the real risk premium, and the real interest rate, calculated with a model that uses Treasury yields, inflation data, inflation swaps, and survey-based measures of inflation expectations. See the source’s FAQs for more details about the data and methodology for the calculations.

Posted in FRED Announcements

FRED Adds EONIA: Euro Interbank Offered Rate

FRED has added the European Overnight Index Average (EONIA), which is the closing rate for overnight loans denominated in euros. To create this series, the European Central Bank (ECB) collects data on unsecured, overnight lending among a panel of banks in the euro area.

Posted in FRED Announcements

FRED Adds Chicago Fed Advance Retail Trade Summary (CARTS) Indexes

FRED has added four weekly series on retail trade from the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. The Chicago Fed Advance Retail Trade Summary (CARTS) is a weekly index designed to track the Census Bureau’s Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS).

Posted in FRED Announcements

FRED Adds SONIA Interest Rate Benchmarks

FRED has 13 new series of overnight interest rate data from the Bank of England. Banks pay the sterling overnight index average (SONIA) on top of any loans made for purchases of sterling (British pounds) in the overnight market. Because SONIA is based on the average of these overnight interest rates without incorporating risk premiums, it is also effectively risk free. This is a departure from the London interbank offered rate (LIBOR),  which is still short-term lending but more forward looking; since LIBOR includes loans up to one year in duration, risk premiums are built into some of its loans. LIBOR historically has been used by the private sector as a benchmark for short-term interest rates; but as the Bank of England phases out LIBOR this year, SONIA will take its place as a more robust and stable benchmark.

Posted in FRED Announcements

FRED Adds the Interest Rate on Reserve Balances

Effective July 29, 2021, the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System will replace the interest rate on excess reserves (IOER) and the interest rate on required reserves (IORR) with a single rate, the interest rate on reserve balances (IORB). Therefore, FRED has discontinued the IOER and the IORR rates and added the IORB rate. See the Board’s announcement for more details.

The IORB rate is the rate of interest that the Federal Reserve pays on balances maintained by or on behalf of eligible institutions in master accounts at Federal Reserve Banks. The interest rate is set by the Board of Governors, and it is an important tool of monetary policy. See Policy Tools and IORB FAQs for more information.

Posted in FRED Announcements

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